ELEKTRİK ÜRETİMİNİN İŞSİZLİK ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

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DOI : 10.26449/sssj.894
Year-Number: 2018-23
Language : null
Konu :
Number of pages: 4397-4406
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Abstract

Enerjinin öneminin her geçen gün arttığı günümüzde, enerji ülke ekonomilerinde önemli bir yer tutmaktadır. Dolayısıyla literatür incelendiğinde enerji tüketimi-ekonomik büyüme ve enerji üretimi-ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi üzerine yoğunlaşan çok sayıda çalışma bulunmaktadır. Bu çalışmalardan farklı olarak çalışmamızda, elektrik üretiminin (yenilenebilir ve yenilenemez kaynaklardan sağlanan elektrik üretiminin) işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi incelenmiştir. Bu amaç doğrultusunda, Türkiye için 1991-2016 dönemine ait yıllık veriler kullanılarak ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) yaklaşımı ile elektrik üretiminin işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli ilişki olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Kısa dönemde, yenilenemez ve yenilenebilir kaynaklardan sağlanan elektrik üretiminin işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi cari dönemde %5 düzeyinde anlamsız çıkmıştır. Uzun dönemde ise, yenilenemez kaynaklardan sağlanan elektrik üretiminin işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi anlamsız çıkmıştır. Ancak yenilenebilir kaynaklardan sağlanan elektrik üretimin işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi oldukça anlamlı ve negatif çıkmıştır. Dolayısıyla, politika üreticilerinin yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarına yapacakları yatırımlar, Türkiye’de uzun dönemde işsizlik oranlarının azalmasında etkili olabilir.

Keywords

Abstract

Today, the importance of energy increases day by day, energy is an important part of the country’s economies. Therefore, there are many studies focusing on the relationship between energy consumption-economic growth and energy production-economic growth. Unlike these studies our study was investigated the impact of electricity production (electricity generation from renewable and non-renewable sources) on unemployment. For this purpose, the impact of electricity production on unemployment is investigated via ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) approach by using Turkey’s annual data for the period 1991-2016. According to the findings, it is concluded that there is a long-term relationship between the variables. In the short term, the impact of electricity generation from non-renewable and renewable sources on unemployment is insignificant at the level of 5% in the current period. In the long term, the impact of electricity generation from non-renewable sources on unemployment is insignificant. On the other hand, the impact of electricity generation from renewable sources on unemployment is quite significant and negative. Therefore, the investments of policy makers in renewable energy sources will be effective in reducing long-term unemployment rate in Turkey.

Keywords

Kaynakça

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